How this is calculated
Future purchasing power = amount ÷ (1 + rate)ʸ, where rate is annual inflation and y the number of years. Running it the other way, the amount needed to preserve today's purchasing power = amount × (1 + rate)ʸ.
Worked example on $10,000 at 3% over 20 years: 10,000 ÷ 1.03²⁰ = $5,537. The same shopping basket that costs $10,000 today would cost $18,061 in twenty years, which is the reverse calculation on the same numbers.
The rule of 72 works here too, in reverse. Divide 72 by the inflation rate to find the years until money halves in value: 24 years at 3%, 14 years at 5%, and just 7 years at 10%.
Why this changes how you read a return rate
A savings account paying 2% during a period of 3% inflation loses 1% a year in real terms, no matter how the balance looks on the statement. Nominal growth is not growth; only the gap between your return and inflation is.
This is the strongest argument against holding long-term savings in cash. Over a working lifetime, the difference between a real return of roughly zero and a real return of 4% or 5% is the difference between preserving money and multiplying it.
What rate to assume
Most developed-economy central banks target around 2%, and the long-run US average has been closer to 3%. Recent years have shown that it can spike well above target and stay there for a while, so 3% is a sensible planning default and higher figures are worth stress-testing against.
Note also that headline inflation is an average across a basket of goods, and your personal rate may differ substantially. Housing, education and healthcare have historically risen faster than the general index in many countries, while consumer electronics have fallen. If your spending is concentrated in the fast-rising categories, the official figure understates your experience.
How to use the inflation calculator
- Enter the amount. A sum of money today, or a fixed future amount you want to evaluate.
- Set the inflation rate. 3% is a reasonable long-run default. Try 5% as a stress test.
- Choose the number of years. The effect is roughly linear over short periods and compounds noticeably beyond about ten years.